Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.005877 0.006498 0.007173 0.007963 0.008866 0.009870 0.011076
2025-10-05 0.004851 0.005698 0.006692 0.007955 0.009535 0.011468 0.014044
2025-10-12 0.004336 0.005302 0.006496 0.008103 0.010247 0.013060 0.017120
2025-10-19 0.003882 0.004891 0.006189 0.008016 0.010579 0.014139 0.019635
2025-10-26 0.003539 0.004572 0.005945 0.007951 0.010893 0.015192 0.022242
2025-11-02 0.003239 0.004273 0.005686 0.007819 0.011067 0.016032 0.024631
2025-11-09 0.003037 0.004086 0.005557 0.007846 0.011465 0.017244 0.027823
2025-11-16 0.002831 0.003873 0.005367 0.007755 0.011654 0.018131 0.030597
2025-11-23 0.002628 0.003647 0.005136 0.007572 0.011664 0.018703 0.032883
2025-11-30 0.002516 0.003545 0.005081 0.007658 0.012126 0.020117 0.037079
2025-12-07 0.002456 0.003516 0.005134 0.007921 0.012918 0.022245 0.043220
2025-12-14 0.002324 0.003366 0.004982 0.007821 0.013044 0.023116 0.046812
2025-12-21 0.002187 0.003205 0.004810 0.007687 0.013121 0.023961 0.050718
2025-12-28 0.002085 0.003095 0.004714 0.007682 0.013449 0.025395 0.056525
2026-01-04 0.002020 0.003038 0.004702 0.007824 0.014081 0.027589 0.065007
2026-01-11 0.001921 0.002920 0.004576 0.007740 0.014241 0.028755 0.071031
2026-01-18 0.001834 0.002816 0.004467 0.007679 0.014438 0.030040 0.077863
2026-01-25 0.001745 0.002702 0.004331 0.007552 0.014477 0.030944 0.083836
2026-02-01 0.001685 0.002636 0.004276 0.007578 0.014857 0.032781 0.093651
2026-02-08 0.001614 0.002544 0.004170 0.007490 0.014967 0.033935 0.101558
2026-02-15 0.001535 0.002437 0.004026 0.007315 0.014851 0.034458 0.107337
2026-02-22 0.001496 0.002397 0.004007 0.007398 0.015361 0.036839 0.121684
2026-03-01 0.001481 0.002399 0.004065 0.007649 0.016320 0.040755 0.144918